Value bet: Sparta Katowice to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGoczałkowice Zdrój to win ✓43% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓9% · fair 10.99
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Goczałkowice Zdrój v Sparta Katowice in the III Liga Group 3, played at Panatoni Arena. In the table, Goczałkowice Zdrój are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Sparta Katowice are 2nd (among the top four) with 36. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sparta Katowice, last 4: LDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Ślęza Wrocław, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.2 xG, Sparta Katowice 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goczałkowice Zdrój 43%, draw 23%, Sparta Katowice 34%.
Price worth noting: Sparta Katowice to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–2 Sparta Katowice. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goczałkowice Zdrój43%fair 2.34 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.60
Sparta Katowice34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
2.61Expected goals
1.23Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
1.37Sparta Katowice xG
48%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.2 – 1.4 Sparta Katowice expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Sparta Katowice
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-10%
+20%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
-41%
Our expected goals here
0.89
1.46
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goczałkowice Zdrój to win✓
43%
2.34
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Goczałkowice Zdrój (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Goczałkowice Zdrój +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Sparta Katowice to score first✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Katowice / FT Sparta Katowice✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
9%
10.99
–
Recent results
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 2
LW
28 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sparta Katowice – last 4
LDWD
21 Mar
vs Ślęza Wrocław
0–1
L
18 Mar
@ Carina Gubin
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Górnik Polkowice
4–0
W
7 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goczałkowice Zdrój and Sparta Katowice.
What is the prediction for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
On our numbers Goczałkowice Zdrój have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sparta Katowice 34%.
How many goals will there be in Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
Our predicted score is Goczałkowice Zdrój 1–2 Sparta Katowice, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice?
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Sparta Katowice (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Panatoni Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Górnik Zabrze II2
Słowianin2
SKRA Częstochowa0