Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · fair 2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.45
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 1 May the III Liga Group 3 brings Goczałkowice Zdrój against Carina Gubin at Panatoni Arena. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Goczałkowice Zdrój are 11th, lower half, on 21 points after 16 matches; Carina Gubin are 14th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Goczałkowice Zdrój, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Górnik Polkowice, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Carina Gubin, last 3: LDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Karkonosze Jelenia Góra, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Goczałkowice Zdrój, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Carina Gubin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.6 xG, Carina Gubin 1.1 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Goczałkowice Zdrój 48%, draw 24%, Carina Gubin 27%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (53%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Goczałkowice Zdrój 2–1 Carina Gubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Goczałkowice Zdrój48%fair 2.06 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Carina Gubin27%fair 3.67 · @3.00
2.72Expected goals
1.64Goczałkowice Zdrój xG
1.07Carina Gubin xG
50%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.6 – 1.1 Carina Gubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Carina Gubin
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-10%
-23%
Goals conceded vs average
-3%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.60
0.93
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Goczałkowice Zdrój to win✗
48%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
–
Draw no bet
Goczałkowice Zdrój (draw no bet)✗
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Carina Gubin +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Goczałkowice Zdrój to score first✗
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Goczałkowice Zdrój / FT Goczałkowice Zdrój✗
31%
3.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Goczałkowice Zdrój – last 6
DLLWLW
17 Apr
@ Górnik Polkowice
0–0
D
11 Apr
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–2
L
1 Apr
@ Lechia Zielona Góra
0–5
L
28 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Polonia Nysa
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Wiślanie Jaśkowice
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carina Gubin – last 3
LDD
14 Apr
@ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
2–3
L
10 Apr
vs Ślęza Wrocław
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Sparta Katowice
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Goczałkowice Zdrój and Carina Gubin.
What is the prediction for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
On our numbers Goczałkowice Zdrój have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Carina Gubin 27%.
How many goals will there be in Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
Our predicted score is Goczałkowice Zdrój 2–1 Carina Gubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Panatoni Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.