Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultSKRA Częstochowa to win ✓52% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Polonia Nysa welcome SKRA Częstochowa to Stadion KS Polonia Nysa for a III Liga Group 3 fixture on Friday 1 May (15:00 WAT).
Current form
Polonia Nysa, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Słowianin, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 4 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
SKRA Częstochowa, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pawłowice Śląskie, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours SKRA Częstochowa, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Polonia Nysa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Polonia Nysa 1.3 xG, SKRA Częstochowa 1.9 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Polonia Nysa 27%, draw 21%, SKRA Częstochowa 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Polonia Nysa 1–2 SKRA Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Polonia Nysa27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.70
SKRA Częstochowa52%fair 1.92 · @1.95
3.19Expected goals
1.30Polonia Nysa xG
1.89SKRA Częstochowa xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Polonia Nysa 1.3 – 1.9 SKRA Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Polonia Nysa
SKRA Częstochowa
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average
-22%
+18%
Goals conceded vs average
+23%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.26
1.83
Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SKRA Częstochowa to win✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
SKRA Częstochowa (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Polonia Nysa +1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
SKRA Częstochowa to score first✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
SKRA Częstochowa ahead at half-time✓
39%
2.58
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SKRA Częstochowa / FT SKRA Częstochowa✓
32%
3.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Polonia Nysa – last 6
DLLDLL
26 Apr
vs Słowianin
0–0
D
10 Apr
vs Zagłębie Lubin II
2–4
L
1 Apr
vs Górnik Polkowice
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Kluczbork
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Górnik Zabrze II
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Ślęza Wrocław
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SKRA Częstochowa – last 6
WWWDLL
4 Apr
@ Pawłowice Śląskie
3–2
W
25 Mar
vs Miedź Legnica II
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Lechia Zielona Góra
2–1
W
13 Mar
@ Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
2–2
D
21 Feb
@ Legia Warszawa II
1–3
L
14 Feb
@ Lechia T. Mazowiecki
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Polonia Nysa and SKRA Częstochowa.
What is the prediction for Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa?
On our numbers Polonia Nysa have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SKRA Częstochowa 52%.
How many goals will there be in Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Polonia Nysa 1–2 SKRA Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa?
Polonia Nysa vs SKRA Częstochowa (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion KS Polonia Nysa.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Górnik Zabrze II0
Lechia Zielona Góra2