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Górnik Zabrze II v Lechia Zielona Góra: numbers & prediction

III Liga Group 3 · Poland · Stadion MOSiR
Górnik Zabrze II 39%Draw 24%Lechia Zielona Góra 37% Expected goals 1.58 – 1.37
56%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultGórnik Zabrze II to win ✗39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.19

Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lechia Zielona Góra travel to face Górnik Zabrze II on Friday 1 May in the III Liga Group 3, with Stadion MOSiR the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT.

Current form

Górnik Zabrze II, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Zagłębie Lubin II, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Lechia Zielona Góra, last 3: WDL Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Goczałkowice Zdrój, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Górnik Zabrze II, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Lechia Zielona Góra.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Górnik Zabrze II 1.6 xG, Lechia Zielona Góra 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 53% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Górnik Zabrze II 39%, draw 24%, Lechia Zielona Góra 37%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Górnik Zabrze II 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Górnik Zabrze II39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.60
Lechia Zielona Góra37%fair 2.69 · @2.20
2.95Expected goals
1.58Górnik Zabrze II xG
1.37Lechia Zielona Góra xG
53%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Górnik Zabrze II 1.6 – 1.4 Lechia Zielona Góra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Górnik Zabrze IILechia Zielona Góra
Attack vs III Liga Group 3 average+24%+8%
Goals conceded vs average-12%-24%
Our expected goals here1.611.19

Our own ratings from every III Liga Group 3 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGórnik Zabrze II to win ✗39%2.542.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.90–
Draw no betGórnik Zabrze II (draw no bet) ✗51%1.94–
Asian handicapLechia Zielona Góra +1 (Asian handicap) ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.771.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scoreGórnik Zabrze II to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.50–
Half-time / full-timeHT Górnik Zabrze II / FT Górnik Zabrze II ✗25%3.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.19–

Recent results

Górnik Zabrze II – last 6

WWWDWL
18 Apr@ Zagłębie Lubin II5–0W
10 Aprvs Warta Gorzów3–1W
2 Apr@ Sparta Katowice2–1W
28 Marvs Słowianin2–2D
20 Mar@ Polonia Nysa2–1W
13 Mar@ Ślęza Wrocław1–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Lechia Zielona Góra – last 3

WDL
1 Aprvs Goczałkowice Zdrój5–0W
29 Mar@ Ślęza Wrocław0–0D
20 Mar@ SKRA Częstochowa1–2L
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Górnik Zabrze II and Lechia Zielona Góra.

Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra head-to-head page →

More III Liga Group 3 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

On our numbers Górnik Zabrze II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lechia Zielona Góra 37%.

How many goals will there be in Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Our predicted score is Górnik Zabrze II 2–1 Lechia Zielona Góra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra?

Górnik Zabrze II vs Lechia Zielona Góra (III Liga Group 3) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion MOSiR.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.