Vila Real 62%Draw 22%Gouveia 16%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.88
62%
Betarazi pick
Vila Real to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultVila Real to win ✓62% · @1.28
Double chanceVila Real or draw ✓84% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Vila Real vs Gouveia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B brings Vila Real against Gouveia at Complexo Desportivo Monte Da Forca. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vila Real 1.7 xG, Gouveia 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Real 62%, draw 22%, Gouveia 16%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Vila Real to win (62%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Real 1–0 Gouveia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vila Real62%fair 1.61 · @1.28
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @4.50
Gouveia16%fair 6.16 · @9.00
2.57Expected goals
1.69Vila Real xG
0.88Gouveia xG
48%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Vila Real 1.7 – 0.9 Gouveia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Real to win✓
62%
1.61
1.28
Double chance
Vila Real or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
–
Draw no bet
Vila Real (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Gouveia +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Vila Real to score first
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Real / FT Vila Real✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Recent results
Vila Real
No recent results on record.
Gouveia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Real and Gouveia.
Our pick is Vila Real to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Vila Real vs Gouveia?
On our numbers Vila Real have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gouveia 16%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Real vs Gouveia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Real vs Gouveia?
Our predicted score is Vila Real 1–0 Gouveia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vila Real vs Gouveia?
Vila Real vs Gouveia (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo Monte Da Forca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Florgrade2
Alpendorada2
Cinfães1
Vila Meã1
Rebordosa1
Anadia0
Aparecida1
Beira-Mar5
Leça4
União Lamas0
Resende2
Salgueiros0