Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultFlorgrade to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.32
Florgrade vs Alpendorada: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Florgrade v Alpendorada in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, played at Parque Do Bucaquinho. In the table, Florgrade are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Alpendorada are 12th (in the drop zone) with 5.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Florgrade 1.1 xG, Alpendorada 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Florgrade 41%, draw 27%, Alpendorada 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Florgrade 1–0 Alpendorada. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Florgrade41%fair 2.46 · @2.15
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.00
Alpendorada32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
2.12Expected goals
1.14Florgrade xG
0.98Alpendorada xG
45%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Florgrade 1.1 – 1.0 Alpendorada expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Florgrade to win✗
41%
2.46
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
Florgrade (draw no bet)
56%
1.78
–
Asian handicap
Alpendorada +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Florgrade to score first✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Florgrade / FT Florgrade✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.32
–
Recent results
Florgrade
No recent results on record.
Alpendorada
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Alpendorada.
What is the prediction for Florgrade vs Alpendorada?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Florgrade vs Alpendorada?
On our numbers Florgrade have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alpendorada 32%.
How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Alpendorada?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Florgrade vs Alpendorada?
Our predicted score is Florgrade 1–0 Alpendorada, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Florgrade vs Alpendorada?
Florgrade vs Alpendorada (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Do Bucaquinho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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