Value bet: Aparecida to win @ 2.80 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAparecida to win ✗38% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.72
Aparecida vs Beira-Mar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 February the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B brings Aparecida against Beira-Mar at Estádio Vila Mítica. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aparecida 1.4 xG, Beira-Mar 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aparecida 38%, draw 25%, Beira-Mar 37%.
Price worth noting: Aparecida to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aparecida 1–1 Beira-Mar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aparecida38%fair 2.61 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.10
Beira-Mar37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
2.60Expected goals
1.38Aparecida xG
1.22Beira-Mar xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Aparecida 1.4 – 1.2 Beira-Mar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aparecida to win✗
38%
2.61
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Aparecida (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Beira-Mar +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Aparecida to score first
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aparecida / FT Aparecida✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.72
–
Recent results
Aparecida
No recent results on record.
Beira-Mar
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aparecida and Beira-Mar.
What is the prediction for Aparecida vs Beira-Mar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aparecida vs Beira-Mar?
On our numbers Aparecida have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Beira-Mar 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aparecida vs Beira-Mar?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aparecida vs Beira-Mar?
Our predicted score is Aparecida 1–1 Beira-Mar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Aparecida vs Beira-Mar?
Aparecida vs Beira-Mar (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Vila Mítica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Vila Real2
Gouveia1
Vila Meã1
Rebordosa1
Anadia0
Leça4
Resende2