Salgueiros v Florgrade Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSalgueiros to win ✓38% · @2.35

Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.44

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.63

Salgueiros vs Florgrade: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 March the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B brings Salgueiros against Florgrade at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Salgueiros are 6th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Florgrade are 7th (upper half) with 11. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Salgueiros, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Leça, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Florgrade, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Beira-Mar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Florgrade, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.4 for Salgueiros.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Salgueiros 1.0 xG, Florgrade 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Salgueiros 38%, draw 30%, Florgrade 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salgueiros 1–0 Florgrade. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Salgueiros38%fair 2.64 · @2.35

Draw30%fair 3.39 · @2.90

Florgrade33%fair 3.06 · @2.88

1.92Expected goals

1.03Salgueiros xG

0.89Florgrade xG

40%Both score

33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%

0–015%

1–113%

0–113%

2–08%

2–17%

From our goals model: Salgueiros 1.0 – 0.9 Florgrade expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Salgueiros to win ✓	38%	2.64	2.35
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	70%	1.42	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	60%	1.68	–
Draw no bet	Salgueiros (draw no bet) ✓	54%	1.86	–
Asian handicap	Florgrade +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.61	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	57%	1.75	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	67%	1.49	1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	87%	1.15	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.05	–
First team to score	Salgueiros to score first ✓	46%	2.18	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	51%	1.96	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	23%	4.40	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	15%	6.63	–

Salgueiros – last 5

LDLDL

15 Mar	@ Leça	1–3	L
8 Mar	vs Vila Real	1–1	D
1 Mar	@ Rebordosa	0–1	L
22 Feb	vs Aparecida	1–1	D
15 Feb	@ Resende	0–2	L

0.6Scored / game

1.6Conceded / game

60%Both scored

20%Over 2.5

Florgrade – last 5

WDWWD

15 Mar	vs Beira-Mar	1–0	W
8 Mar	@ Anadia	2–2	D
1 Mar	vs Gouveia	2–0	W
22 Feb	@ União Lamas	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs Alpendorada	2–2	D

1.6Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ovarense	8	7	1	0	+13	22
2	Machico	8	4	4	0	+8	16
3	Camacha	7	4	3	0	+6	15
4	Castro Daire	8	3	4	1	+4	13
5	Sanjoanense	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Salgueiros	8	2	5	1	0	11
7	Florgrade	8	3	2	3	-2	11
8	União Lamas	8	2	3	3	-3	9
9	Beira-Mar	8	0	7	1	-2	7
10	Cinfães	7	1	3	3	-2	6
11	Estrela Calheta	8	1	3	4	-6	6
12	Alpendorada	7	1	2	4	-4	5
13	Guarda	8	1	1	6	-6	4
14	Sousense	7	0	3	4	-7	3

Team

Pts

+13

-2

-3

-2

-2

-6

-4

-6

-7

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salgueiros vs Florgrade?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Salgueiros vs Florgrade?

On our numbers Salgueiros have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Florgrade 33%.

How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Florgrade?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salgueiros vs Florgrade?

Our predicted score is Salgueiros 1–0 Florgrade, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Salgueiros vs Florgrade?

Salgueiros vs Florgrade (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Complexo Desportivo de Campanhã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Salgueiros v Florgrade: numbers & prediction