Resende v Leça Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultLeça to win ✗52% · @1.67

Double chanceLeça or draw ✓79% · @1.12

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.48

Resende vs Leça: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Resende v Leça in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, played at Estádio Municipal de Fornelos.

Current form

Resende, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vila Real, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Leça, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Salgueiros, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.4 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Leça, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.4 for Resende.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Resende 0.9 xG, Leça 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Resende 21%, draw 27%, Leça 52%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Resende 0–1 Leça. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Resende21%fair 4.73 · @4.50

Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.40

Leça52%fair 1.93 · @1.67

2.35Expected goals

0.95Resende xG

1.41Leça xG

47%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–113%

1–113%

0–09%

0–29%

1–09%

1–29%

From our goals model: Resende 0.9 – 1.4 Leça expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Leça to win ✗	52%	1.93	1.67
Double chance	Leça or draw ✓	79%	1.27	1.12
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	53%	1.87	–
Draw no bet	Leça (draw no bet)	71%	1.41	–
Asian handicap	Resende +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	69%	1.44	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	79%	1.27	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.10	–
First team to score	Leça to score first	54%	1.85	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Leça / FT Leça ✗	28%	3.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	13%	7.48	–

Resende – last 5

WLLDW

15 Mar	@ Vila Real	3–0	W
8 Mar	vs Rebordosa	0–1	L
1 Mar	@ Aparecida	1–3	L
22 Feb	@ Vila Meã	0–0	D
15 Feb	vs Salgueiros	2–0	W

1.2Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

20%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Leça – last 5

WDDWW

15 Mar	vs Salgueiros	3–1	W
8 Mar	@ Beira-Mar	1–1	D
1 Mar	vs Anadia	1–1	D
22 Feb	@ Gouveia	3–0	W
15 Feb	vs União Lamas	4–0	W

2.4Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Resende vs Leça?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Resende vs Leça?

On our numbers Resende have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Leça 52%.

How many goals will there be in Resende vs Leça?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Resende vs Leça?

Our predicted score is Resende 0–1 Leça, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Resende vs Leça?

Resende vs Leça (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Municipal de Fornelos.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Resende v Leça: numbers & prediction

Resende

Leça

Under 2.5 goals