Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.91
Aparecida vs Vila Real: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Vila Real travel to face Aparecida on Sunday 22 March in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B, with Estádio Vila Mítica the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Current form
Aparecida, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Rebordosa, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Vila Real, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Resende, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Vila Real, collecting 1.6 points per game to 1.0 for Aparecida.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aparecida 1.5 xG, Vila Real 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aparecida 43%, draw 25%, Vila Real 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aparecida 1–1 Vila Real. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aparecida43%fair 2.35 · @2.15
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20
Vila Real33%fair 3.06 · @2.90
2.68Expected goals
1.48Aparecida xG
1.21Vila Real xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Aparecida 1.5 – 1.2 Vila Real expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aparecida to win✓
43%
2.35
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Draw no bet
Aparecida (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Vila Real +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
–
First team to score
Aparecida to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aparecida / FT Aparecida✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.91
–
Recent results
Aparecida – last 5
LDWDL
15 Mar
@ Rebordosa
1–3
L
8 Mar
@ Vila Meã
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Resende
3–1
W
22 Feb
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Beira-Mar
1–5
L
1.4Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Vila Real – last 5
LDWDW
15 Mar
vs Resende
0–3
L
8 Mar
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Beira-Mar
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Anadia
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Gouveia
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aparecida and Vila Real.
What is the prediction for Aparecida vs Vila Real?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aparecida vs Vila Real?
On our numbers Aparecida have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Vila Real 33%.
How many goals will there be in Aparecida vs Vila Real?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aparecida vs Vila Real?
Our predicted score is Aparecida 1–1 Vila Real, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aparecida vs Vila Real?
Aparecida vs Vila Real (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Vila Mítica.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Anadia0
Alpendorada3
Beira-Mar1
Cinfães1
Salgueiros2
Florgrade0
Gouveia0
União Lamas2
Vila Meã1
Rebordosa0
Resende1
Leça1