Venezia 60%Draw 21%Avellino 19%Expected goals 1.82 – 1.10
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVenezia to win ✓60% · @1.38
Double chanceVenezia or draw ✓81% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Venezia vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 3 March the Serie B brings Venezia against Avellino at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Venezia 1.8 xG, Avellino 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Venezia 60%, draw 21%, Avellino 19%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Venezia 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Venezia60%fair 1.67 · @1.38
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.70
Avellino19%fair 5.26 · @7.70
2.92Expected goals
1.82Venezia xG
1.10Avellino xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
1–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Venezia 1.8 – 1.1 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Venezia to win✓
60%
1.67
1.38
Double chance
Venezia or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Venezia (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Avellino +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.15
First team to score
Venezia to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Venezia ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Venezia / FT Venezia✓
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Venezia – last 1
W
21 Feb
vs Pescara
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Reggiana
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Pescara
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Venezia and Avellino.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Venezia vs Avellino?
On our numbers Venezia have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Avellino 19%.
How many goals will there be in Venezia vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Venezia vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Venezia 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Venezia vs Avellino?
Venezia vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Spezia2
Reggiana0
Monza3