Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultModena to win ✗48% · @2.10
Double chanceModena or draw ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Virtus Entella vs Modena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Modena travel to face Virtus Entella on Tuesday 3 March in the Serie B, with Stadio Enrico Sannazzari the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Virtus Entella are 16th, lower half, on 10 points after 11 matches; Modena are 2nd (among the top four) with 23. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Virtus Entella 0.9 xG, Modena 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Virtus Entella 26%, draw 26%, Modena 48%.
Lower-risk option: Modena or draw (74%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Virtus Entella 0–1 Modena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Virtus Entella26%fair 3.88 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.25
Modena48%fair 2.09 · @2.10
2.34Expected goals
0.93Virtus Entella xG
1.42Modena xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–210%
0–010%
1–29%
1–09%
From our goals model: Virtus Entella 0.9 – 1.4 Modena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✗
48%
2.09
2.10
Double chance
Modena or draw✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)✗
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Virtus Entella +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Modena to score first
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Recent results
Virtus Entella – last 2
LL
27 Feb
@ Monza
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Catanzaro
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Modena – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Juve Stabia
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Virtus Entella and Modena.
What is the prediction for Virtus Entella vs Modena?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Modena?
On our numbers Virtus Entella have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Modena 48%.
How many goals will there be in Virtus Entella vs Modena?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Virtus Entella vs Modena?
Our predicted score is Virtus Entella 0–1 Modena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Virtus Entella vs Modena?
Virtus Entella vs Modena (Serie B) kicks off on Tuesday 3 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Enrico Sannazzari.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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