Bari 38%Draw 30%Carrarese 32%Expected goals 1.26 – 0.97
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Bari to win @ 2.88 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBari to win ✗38% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Bari vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Carrarese travel to face Bari on Sunday 22 March in the Serie B, with Stadio San Nicola the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Bari, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Frosinone, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Carrarese, last 4: WLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Sampdoria, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bari 1.3 xG, Carrarese 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bari 38%, draw 30%, Carrarese 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Bari to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bari 1–0 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bari38%fair 2.62 · @2.88
Draw30%fair 3.37 · @2.98
Carrarese32%fair 3.12 · @2.58
2.23Expected goals
1.26Bari xG
0.97Carrarese xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bari 1.3 – 1.0 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bari to win✗
38%
2.62
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.75
Draw no bet
Bari (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Carrarese +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Bari to score first✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bari / FT Bari✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.07
–
Recent results
Bari – last 6
LLWWDL
18 Mar
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Pescara
0–4
L
4 Mar
vs Empoli
2–1
W
27 Feb
@ Sampdoria
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ Padova
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Sudtirol
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Carrarese – last 4
WLDD
18 Mar
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs Palermo
0–1
L
4 Mar
vs Catanzaro
3–3
D
1 Mar
@ Mantova
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bari and Carrarese.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bari vs Carrarese?
On our numbers Bari have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Carrarese 32%.
How many goals will there be in Bari vs Carrarese?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bari vs Carrarese?
Our predicted score is Bari 1–0 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bari vs Carrarese?
Bari vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio San Nicola.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Frosinone3
Pescara2
Reggiana