Sampdoria v Avellino Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSampdoria to win ✓37% · @2.12

Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 13.07

Sampdoria vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:15 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Sampdoria v Avellino in the Serie B, played at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. In the table, Sampdoria are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Sampdoria, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Carrarese, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.

Avellino, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Sudtirol, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Avellino, collecting 1.4 points per game to 0.2 for Sampdoria.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sampdoria 1.2 xG, Avellino 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sampdoria 37%, draw 27%, Avellino 35%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Avellino to win @3.70 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 35%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sampdoria 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sampdoria37%fair 2.68 · @2.12

Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.05

Avellino35%fair 2.84 · @3.70

2.45Expected goals

1.18Sampdoria xG

1.26Avellino xG

57%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

2–18%

From our goals model: Sampdoria 1.2 – 1.3 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sampdoria to win ✓	37%	2.68	2.12
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	73%	1.38	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	57%	1.76	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Sampdoria (draw no bet) ✓	51%	1.94	–
Asian handicap	Sampdoria +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	62%	1.62	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	58%	1.73	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	1.05
First team to score	Avellino to score first	47%	2.12	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Avellino / FT Avellino ✗	22%	4.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✓	8%	13.07	–

Sampdoria – last 5

LLDLL

18 Mar	@ Carrarese	0–2	L
8 Mar	@ Frosinone	0–3	L
4 Mar	@ Juve Stabia	1–1	D
27 Feb	vs Bari	0–2	L
21 Feb	@ Mantova	1–2	L

0.4Scored / game

2.0Conceded / game

40%Both scored

40%Over 2.5

Avellino – last 5

WWLDL

18 Mar	vs Sudtirol	3–2	W
15 Mar	@ Virtus Entella	2–1	W
3 Mar	@ Venezia	0–4	L
22 Feb	@ Reggiana	1–1	D
15 Feb	vs Pescara	0–1	L

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sampdoria vs Avellino?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Sampdoria vs Avellino?

On our numbers Sampdoria have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Avellino 35%.

How many goals will there be in Sampdoria vs Avellino?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sampdoria vs Avellino?

Our predicted score is Sampdoria 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Sampdoria vs Avellino?

Sampdoria vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Luigi Ferraris.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sampdoria v Avellino: numbers & prediction