Sudtirol v Frosinone Prediction & Expected Goals (22 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultFrosinone to win ✓43% · @2.48

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84

Sudtirol vs Frosinone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Sudtirol v Frosinone in the Serie B, played at Stadio Druso.

Current form

Sudtirol, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Avellino, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Frosinone, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Bari, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Frosinone, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.4 for Sudtirol.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sudtirol 1.1 xG, Frosinone 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sudtirol 31%, draw 25%, Frosinone 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Frosinone to win @2.48 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sudtirol 1–1 Frosinone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sudtirol31%fair 3.18 · @2.76

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.25

Frosinone43%fair 2.32 · @2.48

2.67Expected goals

1.14Sudtirol xG

1.52Frosinone xG

59%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%

0–111%

1–29%

0–28%

1–08%

0–07%

From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.1 – 1.5 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Frosinone to win ✓	43%	2.32	2.48 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.28
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	59%	1.69	1.65
Draw no bet	Frosinone (draw no bet) ✓	58%	1.73	–
Asian handicap	Sudtirol +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	74%	1.36	1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	1.98	1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	71%	1.40	1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	86%	1.16	1.11
First team to score	Frosinone to score first ✓	53%	1.88	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	42%	2.37	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Frosinone / FT Frosinone ✓	27%	3.64	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	10.84	–

Sudtirol – last 5

LDWLW

18 Mar	@ Avellino	2–3	L
15 Mar	vs Pescara	0–0	D
3 Mar	@ Reggiana	4–0	W
21 Feb	@ Palermo	0–3	L
15 Feb	@ Bari	2–1	W

1.6Scored / game

1.4Conceded / game

40%Both scored

80%Over 2.5

Frosinone – last 6

WWDDDW

18 Mar	vs Bari	2–1	W
8 Mar	vs Sampdoria	3–0	W
4 Mar	vs Pescara	2–2	D
1 Mar	@ Catanzaro	2–2	D
20 Feb	vs Empoli	2–2	D
15 Feb	@ Spezia	2–0	W

2.2Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

83%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	11	8	3	0	+12	27
2	Modena	11	7	2	2	+10	23
3	Ascoli	11	5	5	1	+10	20
4	Mantova	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Avellino	11	4	4	3	+5	16
6	Benevento	11	4	4	3	+4	16
7	Hellas Verona	11	4	4	3	+6	16
8	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Cremonese	11	4	3	4	+2	15
10	Padova	11	4	3	4	-1	15
11	Cesena	11	3	6	2	-2	15
12	Sudtirol	11	3	6	2	+1	15
13	Juve Stabia	11	4	4	3	+1	12
14	Arezzo	11	3	2	6	-11	11
15	Sampdoria	11	3	2	6	-7	11
16	Virtus Entella	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Carrarese	11	3	1	7	-5	10
18	Vicenza Virtus	11	2	3	6	-10	9
19	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-7	9
20	Catanzaro	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Team

Pts

+12

+10

+10

-1

-2

-11

-7

-3

-5

-10

-7

-12

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Frosinone?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Sudtirol vs Frosinone?

On our numbers Sudtirol have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Frosinone 43%.

How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Frosinone?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Frosinone?

Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Sudtirol vs Frosinone?

Sudtirol vs Frosinone (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Druso.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Sudtirol v Frosinone: numbers & prediction