Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultAubagne to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.43
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:30 WAT, Friday 13 February: Aubagne v Bourg-en-bresse 01 in the National 1, played at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Bourg-en-bresse 01 are 18th (in the drop zone) with 6. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.2 xG, Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 42%, draw 29%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 29%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne42%fair 2.40 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.45 · @3.10
Bourg-en-bresse 0129%fair 3.40 · @3.35
2.17Expected goals
1.21Aubagne xG
0.95Bourg-en-bresse 01 xG
54%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.2 – 1.0 Bourg-en-bresse 01 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aubagne to win✓
42%
2.40
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Aubagne (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
Bourg-en-bresse 01 +1 (Asian handicap)
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Aubagne to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aubagne / FT Aubagne✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.43
–
Recent results
Aubagne
No recent results on record.
Bourg-en-bresse 01
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Bourg-en-bresse 01.
What is the prediction for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bourg-en-bresse 01 29%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?
Aubagne vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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