Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDijon to win ✗53% · @1.77
Double chanceDijon or draw ✓78% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43
Dijon vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dijon welcome Caen to Stade Gaston-Gérard for a National 1 fixture on Friday 13 February (19:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dijon 1.7 xG, Caen 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dijon 53%, draw 25%, Caen 22%.
Lower-risk option: Dijon or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dijon 1–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dijon53%fair 1.89 · @1.77
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @3.20
Caen22%fair 4.46 · @4.50
2.81Expected goals
1.68Dijon xG
1.14Caen xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Dijon 1.7 – 1.1 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✗
53%
1.89
1.77
Double chance
Dijon or draw✓
78%
1.29
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Dijon (draw no bet)
70%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Caen +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Dijon to score first✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✗
30%
3.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.43
–
Recent results
Dijon
No recent results on record.
Caen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Caen.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Dijon vs Caen?
On our numbers Dijon have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Caen 22%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Caen?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Caen?
Our predicted score is Dijon 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Caen?
Dijon vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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