Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultRouen to win ✓49% · @2.10
Double chanceRouen or draw ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.87
Chateauroux vs Rouen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 13 February the National 1 brings Chateauroux against Rouen at Stade Gaston Petit. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chateauroux 0.9 xG, Rouen 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chateauroux 25%, draw 26%, Rouen 49%.
Lower-risk option: Rouen or draw (75%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Rouen or draw (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chateauroux 0–1 Rouen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chateauroux25%fair 4.00 · @3.45
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.00
Rouen49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
2.44Expected goals
0.94Chateauroux xG
1.49Rouen xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 0.9 – 1.5 Rouen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rouen to win✓
49%
2.05
2.10
Double chance
Rouen or draw✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Rouen (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Chateauroux +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Rouen to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rouen / FT Rouen✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.87
–
Recent results
Chateauroux
No recent results on record.
Rouen
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Rouen.
Our pick is Rouen or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Rouen?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Rouen 49%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Rouen?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Rouen?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 0–1 Rouen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Rouen?
Chateauroux vs Rouen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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