Value bet: Caen to win @ 2.45 – our chance 44% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCaen to win ✗44% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Caen vs Sochaux: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sochaux travel to face Caen on Friday 20 February in the National 1, with Stade Michel d'Ornano the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caen 1.5 xG, Sochaux 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caen 44%, draw 25%, Sochaux 31%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Caen to win @2.45 – the bookmaker implies 41%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.26). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caen 1–1 Sochaux. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caen44%fair 2.27 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Sochaux31%fair 3.24 · @2.55
2.52Expected goals
1.50Caen xG
1.02Sochaux xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–012%
2–19%
2–09%
0–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Caen 1.5 – 1.0 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caen to win✗
44%
2.27
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Draw no bet
Caen (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Sochaux +1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.26
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Caen to score first✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caen / FT Caen✗
29%
3.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Caen – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Dijon
3–3
D
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sochaux – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caen and Sochaux.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Caen vs Sochaux?
On our numbers Caen have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sochaux 31%.
How many goals will there be in Caen vs Sochaux?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caen vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is Caen 1–1 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caen vs Sochaux?
Caen vs Sochaux (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Michel d'Ornano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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