Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.41 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.41Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultValenciennes to win ✗37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.34
Gobelins vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 February the National 1 brings Gobelins against Valenciennes at Stade Pele. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Gobelins are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gobelins 1.2 xG, Valenciennes 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gobelins 36%, draw 27%, Valenciennes 37%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.41). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gobelins36%fair 2.79 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.00
Valenciennes37%fair 2.70 · @2.30
2.38Expected goals
1.24Gobelins xG
1.15Valenciennes xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Gobelins 1.2 – 1.1 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valenciennes to win✗
37%
2.70
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Valenciennes (draw no bet)
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Valenciennes +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.41
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Gobelins to score first
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gobelins / FT Gobelins✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.34
–
Recent results
Gobelins – last 1
D
13 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Valenciennes – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Stade Briochin
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gobelins and Valenciennes.
What is the prediction for Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.
Who will win Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Gobelins have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Valenciennes 37%.
How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Gobelins 1–1 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Gobelins vs Valenciennes?
Gobelins vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sochaux3
Dijon2