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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rouen v Le Puy Foot: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Robert Diochon

Le Puy Foot

Rouen 48%Draw 26%Le Puy Foot 27% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.93

78%

Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating

1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultRouen to win ✗48% · @2.00

Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.32

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.98

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.98

Rouen vs Le Puy Foot: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:30 WAT, Friday 20 February: Rouen v Le Puy Foot in the National 1, played at Stade Robert Diochon. In the table, Rouen are 2nd, among the top four, on 26 points after 12 matches; Le Puy Foot are 8th (upper half) with 18.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rouen 1.5 xG, Le Puy Foot 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Rouen 48%, draw 26%, Le Puy Foot 27%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.98.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rouen 1–0 Le Puy Foot. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rouen48%fair 2.10 · @2.00

Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10

Le Puy Foot27%fair 3.77 · @3.25

2.40Expected goals

1.47Rouen xG

0.93Le Puy Foot xG

52%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%

1–112%

2–010%

2–19%

0–09%

0–18%

From our goals model: Rouen 1.5 – 0.9 Le Puy Foot expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Rouen to win ✗	48%	2.10	2.00
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	74%	1.35	1.32
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	52%	1.92	1.98
Draw no bet	Rouen (draw no bet)	64%	1.56	–
Asian handicap	Le Puy Foot +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	67%	1.49	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	68%	1.48	1.39
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.74	1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.29	1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.12	1.06
First team to score	Rouen to score first	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Rouen / FT Rouen ✗	30%	3.39	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	10.98	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Rouen and Le Puy Foot.

Rouen vs Le Puy Foot head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Rouen	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Caen	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Versailles	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Amiens	12	5	5	2	+11	20
6	Concarneau	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Cannes	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Le Puy Foot	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Gobelins	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Quevilly	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Thionville Lusitanos	12	4	4	4	0	16
12	Fleury 91	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Orleans	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Valenciennes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Villefranche	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	Aubagne	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	12	1	3	8	-13	6

More National 1 predictions

League hub

Aubagne0

Quevilly1 143%1.95X26%3.10231%3.50 1.2–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.46 ✗

Bourg-en-bresse 010

Orleans3 129%2.85X28%3.10243%2.20 1.0–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.24 ✓

Caen1

Sochaux3 144%2.45X25%3.10231%2.55 1.5–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.26 ✗

Concarneau0

Versailles2 140%2.25X27%2.95232%2.90 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.46 ✓

Gobelins1

Valenciennes1 136%2.80X27%3.00237%2.30 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.41 ✓

Villefranche1

Dijon2 120%4.00X22%3.20258%1.78 1.0–1.9xG X2Dijon or draw 80%@1.21 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?

On our numbers Rouen have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Le Puy Foot 27%.

How many goals will there be in Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?

Our predicted score is Rouen 1–0 Le Puy Foot, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Rouen vs Le Puy Foot?

Rouen vs Le Puy Foot (National 1) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Robert Diochon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.