Value bet: Gobelins to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultChateauroux to win ✗39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.48
Chateauroux vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 27 February the National 1 brings Chateauroux against Gobelins at Stade Gaston Petit. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chateauroux 1.2 xG, Gobelins 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chateauroux 39%, draw 27%, Gobelins 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Gobelins to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chateauroux 1–1 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chateauroux39%fair 2.55 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.00
Gobelins33%fair 3.01 · @3.30
2.43Expected goals
1.23Chateauroux xG
1.20Gobelins xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Chateauroux 1.2 – 1.2 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chateauroux to win✗
39%
2.55
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.85
Draw no bet
Chateauroux (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Gobelins +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Chateauroux to score first✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chateauroux / FT Chateauroux✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Chateauroux – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Rouen
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gobelins – last 2
DD
20 Feb
vs Valenciennes
1–1
D
13 Feb
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chateauroux and Gobelins.
What is the prediction for Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Chateauroux have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gobelins 33%.
How many goals will there be in Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Chateauroux 1–1 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Chateauroux vs Gobelins?
Chateauroux vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Petit.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Stade Briochin1
Sochaux2