Value bet: Versailles to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVersailles to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceVersailles or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Versailles vs Aubagne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Versailles welcome Aubagne to Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre for a National 1 fixture on Friday 27 February (19:30 WAT). In the table, Versailles are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Aubagne are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Versailles 1.8 xG, Aubagne 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Versailles 58%, draw 24%, Aubagne 18%.
Lower-risk option: Versailles or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Versailles to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Versailles 1–0 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Versailles58%fair 1.74 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.10
Aubagne18%fair 5.43 · @3.80
2.49Expected goals
1.75Versailles xG
0.74Aubagne xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Versailles 1.8 – 0.7 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Versailles to win✓
58%
1.74
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Versailles or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Draw no bet
Versailles (draw no bet)✓
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Versailles -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Versailles to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Versailles ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Versailles / FT Versailles✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.64
–
Recent results
Versailles – last 1
W
20 Feb
@ Concarneau
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 2
LW
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Versailles and Aubagne.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Versailles vs Aubagne?
On our numbers Versailles have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aubagne 18%.
How many goals will there be in Versailles vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Versailles vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is Versailles 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Versailles vs Aubagne?
Versailles vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Municipal Georges Lefèvre.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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