Sochaux vs Villefranche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sochaux welcome Villefranche to Stade Auguste Bonal for a National 1 fixture on Friday 27 February (19:30 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sochaux 1.7 xG, Villefranche 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sochaux 59%, draw 25%, Villefranche 16%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sochaux 1–0 Villefranche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sochaux59%fair 1.70 · @1.53
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.60
Villefranche16%fair 6.38 · @5.80
2.47Expected goals
1.66Sochaux xG
0.81Villefranche xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sochaux 1.7 – 0.8 Villefranche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sochaux to win✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Double chance
Sochaux or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
2.05
Draw no bet
Sochaux (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Villefranche +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Sochaux to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sochaux / FT Sochaux✓
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.60
–
Recent results
Sochaux – last 2
WD
20 Feb
@ Caen
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Gobelins
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Villefranche – last 2
LD
20 Feb
vs Dijon
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Fleury 91
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sochaux and Villefranche.
What is the prediction for Sochaux vs Villefranche?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sochaux vs Villefranche?
On our numbers Sochaux have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Villefranche 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sochaux vs Villefranche?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Villefranche?
Our predicted score is Sochaux 1–0 Villefranche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Sochaux vs Villefranche?
Sochaux vs Villefranche (National 1) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Auguste Bonal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux0
Stade Briochin1