Aubagne vs Fleury 91: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 March the National 1 brings Aubagne against Fleury 91 at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny. Kick-off: 19:30 WAT. In the table, Aubagne are 17th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 12 matches; Fleury 91 are 12th (lower half) with 16.
Current form
Aubagne, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Versailles, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Fleury 91, last 3: LWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Concarneau, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aubagne 1.0 xG, Fleury 91 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aubagne 29%, draw 28%, Fleury 91 43%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aubagne 1–1 Fleury 91. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aubagne29%fair 3.42 · @2.80
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @2.80
Fleury 9143%fair 2.31 · @2.40
2.46Expected goals
1.04Aubagne xG
1.42Fleury 91 xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–09%
From our goals model: Aubagne 1.0 – 1.4 Fleury 91 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fleury 91 to win✓
43%
2.31
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Fleury 91 (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Fleury 91 to score first✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fleury 91 / FT Fleury 91✓
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Aubagne – last 3
LLW
27 Feb
@ Versailles
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Quevilly
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
1–0
W
0.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fleury 91 – last 3
LWD
27 Feb
vs Concarneau
0–4
L
17 Feb
@ Stade Briochin
3–2
W
13 Feb
vs Villefranche
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aubagne and Fleury 91.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
On our numbers Aubagne have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Fleury 91 43%.
How many goals will there be in Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
Our predicted score is Aubagne 1–1 Fleury 91, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aubagne vs Fleury 91?
Aubagne vs Fleury 91 (National 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Lattre-de-Tassigny.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux2
Dijon1
Stade Briochin1