Value bet: Concarneau to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDijon to win ✗41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Concarneau vs Dijon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Dijon travel to face Concarneau on Friday 6 March in the National 1, with Stade Guy Piriou the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.3 xG, Dijon 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 32%, draw 27%, Dijon 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Concarneau to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.77, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–1 Dijon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concarneau32%fair 3.14 · @3.40
Draw27%fair 3.75 · @2.90
Dijon41%fair 2.41 · @2.05
2.65Expected goals
1.28Concarneau xG
1.38Dijon xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 1.4 Dijon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dijon to win✗
41%
2.41
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.85
Draw no bet
Dijon (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Concarneau +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Dijon to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dijon / FT Dijon✗
23%
4.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Concarneau – last 2
WL
27 Feb
@ Fleury 91
4–0
W
20 Feb
vs Versailles
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dijon – last 2
WD
20 Feb
@ Villefranche
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Caen
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concarneau and Dijon.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Concarneau vs Dijon?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Dijon 41%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Dijon?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Dijon?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–1 Dijon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Dijon?
Concarneau vs Dijon (National 1) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chateauroux2
Stade Briochin1