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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Le Puy Foot v Aubagne: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Charles Massot
1–2
FT

Aubagne

DDLLL
Le Puy Foot 57%Draw 26%Aubagne 18% Expected goals 1.69 – 0.79
57%
Betarazi pick

Le Puy Foot to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.73 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✗57% · @1.73
Double chanceLe Puy Foot or draw ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 10 April the National 1 brings Le Puy Foot against Aubagne at Stade Charles Massot. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Le Puy Foot are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Aubagne are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.

Current form

Le Puy Foot, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Concarneau, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Aubagne, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Chateauroux, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Le Puy Foot, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.3 for Aubagne.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Le Puy Foot 1.7 xG, Aubagne 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Le Puy Foot 57%, draw 26%, Aubagne 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Le Puy Foot or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Le Puy Foot to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Puy Foot 1–0 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Le Puy Foot57%fair 1.76 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.25
Aubagne18%fair 5.69 · @4.20
2.48Expected goals
1.69Le Puy Foot xG
0.79Aubagne xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%

From our goals model: Le Puy Foot 1.7 – 0.8 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLe Puy Foot to win ✗57%1.761.73
Double chanceLe Puy Foot or draw ✗82%1.211.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.80
Draw no betLe Puy Foot (draw no bet) ✗76%1.31–
Asian handicapAubagne +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreLe Puy Foot to score first62%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot ✗36%2.75–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

Le Puy Foot – last 6

WWWWDD
3 Apr@ Concarneau3–0W
20 Mar@ Villefranche3–2W
13 Marvs Caen1–0W
6 Mar@ Gobelins1–0W
27 Febvs Stade Briochin1–1D
20 Feb@ Rouen1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Aubagne – last 6

DDLLLL
3 Aprvs Chateauroux1–1D
27 Mar@ Valenciennes0–0D
20 Marvs Sochaux1–4L
13 Mar@ Dijon1–2L
6 Marvs Fleury 911–2L
27 Feb@ Versailles0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Le Puy Foot and Aubagne.

Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?

Our pick is Le Puy Foot to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?

On our numbers Le Puy Foot have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Aubagne 18%.

How many goals will there be in Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?

Our predicted score is Le Puy Foot 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne?

Le Puy Foot vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.