Orleans v Concarneau Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOrleans to win ✗46% · @1.85

Double chanceOrleans or draw ✓74% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76

Orleans vs Concarneau: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:30 WAT, Friday 10 April: Orleans v Concarneau in the National 1, played at Stade de la Source. In the table, Orleans are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 12 matches; Concarneau are 6th (upper half) with 20.

Current form

Orleans, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Villefranche, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Concarneau, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Le Puy Foot, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Orleans, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Concarneau.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Orleans 1.3 xG, Concarneau 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Orleans 46%, draw 28%, Concarneau 26%.
Lower-risk option: Orleans or draw (74%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Orleans 1–1 Concarneau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Orleans46%fair 2.16 · @1.85

Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.20

Concarneau26%fair 3.85 · @4.10

2.47Expected goals

1.33Orleans xG

1.15Concarneau xG

55%Both score

46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–011%

0–110%

2–19%

0–08%

2–07%

From our goals model: Orleans 1.3 – 1.1 Concarneau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Orleans to win ✗	46%	2.16	1.85
Double chance	Orleans or draw ✓	74%	1.35	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.83	1.80
Draw no bet	Orleans (draw no bet)	64%	1.56	–
Asian handicap	Concarneau +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	70%	1.43	1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	54%	1.84	1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	89%	1.12	–
First team to score	Orleans to score first ✗	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	44%	2.25	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Orleans / FT Orleans ✗	24%	4.23	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	9%	11.76	–

Orleans – last 5

DWWWD

27 Mar	vs Villefranche	0–0	D
13 Mar	vs Gobelins	2–1	W
6 Mar	@ Stade Briochin	3–1	W
20 Feb	@ Bourg-en-bresse 01	3–0	W
13 Feb	@ Le Puy Foot	1–1	D

1.8Scored / game

0.6Conceded / game

60%Both scored

60%Over 2.5

Concarneau – last 6

LLLLDW

3 Apr	vs Le Puy Foot	0–3	L
27 Mar	@ Chateauroux	1–3	L
20 Mar	vs Valenciennes	1–2	L
13 Mar	@ Sochaux	0–2	L
6 Mar	vs Dijon	1–1	D
27 Feb	@ Fleury 91	4–0	W

1.2Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

50%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Rouen	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Caen	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Versailles	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Amiens	12	5	5	2	+11	20
6	Concarneau	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Cannes	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Le Puy Foot	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Gobelins	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Quevilly	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Thionville Lusitanos	12	4	4	4	0	16
12	Fleury 91	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Orleans	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Valenciennes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Villefranche	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	Aubagne	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Team

Pts

+13

+11

-1

-3

-4

-5

-6

-16

-13

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Orleans vs Concarneau?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Orleans vs Concarneau?

On our numbers Orleans have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Concarneau 26%.

How many goals will there be in Orleans vs Concarneau?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Orleans vs Concarneau?

Our predicted score is Orleans 1–1 Concarneau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Orleans vs Concarneau?

Orleans vs Concarneau (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Source.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Orleans v Concarneau: numbers & prediction