Gobelins v Caen Prediction & Expected Goals (10 Apr) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultCaen to win ✓40% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · @1.40

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.95

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.84

Gobelins vs Caen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gobelins welcome Caen to Stade Pele for a National 1 fixture on Friday 10 April (18:30 WAT). In the table, Gobelins are 9th, upper half, on 16 points after 12 matches; Caen are 3rd (among the top four) with 22.

Current form

Gobelins, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Caen, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Stade Briochin, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gobelins, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Caen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gobelins 1.1 xG, Caen 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 57%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gobelins 31%, draw 30%, Caen 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 57%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gobelins 1–1 Caen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gobelins31%fair 3.24 · @3.35

Draw30%fair 3.38 · @2.55

Caen40%fair 2.53 · @2.45

2.44Expected goals

1.13Gobelins xG

1.31Caen xG

57%Both score

41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

0–27%

From our goals model: Gobelins 1.1 – 1.3 Caen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Caen to win ✓	40%	2.53	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	70%	1.42	1.40
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.77	1.95 ▲
Draw no bet	Caen (draw no bet) ✓	56%	1.78	–
Asian handicap	Gobelins +1 (Asian handicap) ✗	76%	1.31	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	66%	1.51	1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	59%	1.69	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	90%	1.11	–
First team to score	Caen to score first ✓	49%	2.04	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.24	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Caen / FT Caen ✓	24%	4.25	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	11.84	–

Gobelins – last 6

LWDLLW

3 Apr	@ Bourg-en-bresse 01	0–1	L
27 Mar	@ Stade Briochin	1–0	W
20 Mar	vs Rouen	0–0	D
13 Mar	@ Orleans	1–2	L
6 Mar	vs Le Puy Foot	0–1	L
27 Feb	@ Chateauroux	1–0	W

0.5Scored / game

0.7Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Caen – last 6

DDLDLD

3 Apr	vs Stade Briochin	1–1	D
27 Mar	@ Rouen	1–1	D
13 Mar	@ Le Puy Foot	0–1	L
6 Mar	vs Chateauroux	2–2	D
20 Feb	vs Sochaux	1–3	L
13 Feb	@ Dijon	3–3	D

1.3Scored / game

1.8Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	La Roche VF	12	8	3	1	+9	27
2	Rouen	12	8	2	2	+13	26
3	Caen	12	7	1	4	+7	22
4	Versailles	12	7	1	4	+5	22
5	Amiens	12	5	5	2	+11	20
6	Concarneau	12	5	5	2	+5	20
7	Cannes	12	4	6	2	+6	18
8	Le Puy Foot	12	5	3	4	+3	18
9	Gobelins	12	4	4	4	-1	16
10	Quevilly	12	4	4	4	-3	16
11	Thionville Lusitanos	12	4	4	4	0	16
12	Fleury 91	12	4	4	4	+2	16
13	Bastia	12	4	3	5	-4	15
14	Orleans	12	2	5	5	-5	11
15	Valenciennes	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Villefranche	12	2	2	8	-16	8
17	Aubagne	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Bourg-en-bresse 01	12	1	3	8	-13	6

Team

Pts

+13

+11

-1

-3

-4

-5

-6

-16

-13

-13

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gobelins vs Caen?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Gobelins vs Caen?

On our numbers Gobelins have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Caen 40%.

How many goals will there be in Gobelins vs Caen?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gobelins vs Caen?

Our predicted score is Gobelins 1–1 Caen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Gobelins vs Caen?

Gobelins vs Caen (National 1) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pele.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Gobelins v Caen: numbers & prediction