Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Tikveš to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTikveš to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.49
Aresimi vs Tikveš: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aresimi welcome Tikveš to Stadion Cegrane for a First League fixture on Wednesday 4 March (14:00 WAT). In the table, Aresimi are 9th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 13 matches; Tikveš are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tikveš, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sileks, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aresimi 1.3 xG, Tikveš 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aresimi 28%, draw 21%, Tikveš 51%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Tikveš to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aresimi 1–2 Tikveš. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aresimi28%fair 3.56 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Tikveš51%fair 1.97 · @2.25
3.46Expected goals
1.30Aresimi xG
2.16Tikveš xG
64%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–27%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Aresimi 1.3 – 2.2 Tikveš expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tikveš to win✓
51%
1.97
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.60
Draw no bet
Tikveš (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Aresimi +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
First team to score
Tikveš to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Tikveš ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tikveš / FT Tikveš✓
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.49
–
Recent results
Aresimi – last 2
DL
1 Mar
vs Makedonija GjP
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Akademija Pandev
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Tikveš – last 3
LWL
1 Mar
vs Sileks
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Makedonija GjP
1–0
W
14 Feb
vs Shkendija
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aresimi and Tikveš.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Aresimi vs Tikveš?
On our numbers Aresimi have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tikveš 51%.
How many goals will there be in Aresimi vs Tikveš?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aresimi vs Tikveš?
Our predicted score is Aresimi 1–2 Tikveš, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Aresimi vs Tikveš?
Aresimi vs Tikveš (First League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Cegrane.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
