Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗4% · fair 23.10
Workington vs Morpeth Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Workington v Morpeth Town in the Non League Premier Northern, played at Borough Park.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Workington 1.6 xG, Morpeth Town 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Workington 46%, draw 24%, Morpeth Town 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Workington 2–1 Morpeth Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Workington46%fair 2.15 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.30
Morpeth Town29%fair 3.39 · @3.00
2.78Expected goals
1.61Workington xG
1.17Morpeth Town xG
50%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Workington 1.6 – 1.2 Morpeth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Workington
Morpeth Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+6%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.86
1.25
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Workington to win✓
46%
2.15
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
–
Draw no bet
Workington (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.63
–
Asian handicap
Morpeth Town +1 (Asian handicap)
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Workington to score first✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Workington / FT Workington✗
29%
3.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
4%
23.10
–
Recent results
Workington
No recent results on record.
Morpeth Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Workington and Morpeth Town.
What is the prediction for Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Workington vs Morpeth Town?
On our numbers Workington have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Morpeth Town 29%.
How many goals will there be in Workington vs Morpeth Town?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Our predicted score is Workington 2–1 Morpeth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Workington vs Morpeth Town?
Workington vs Morpeth Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Borough Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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