Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 21 February the Non League Premier Northern brings Hednesford Town against Lancaster City at Keys Park. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hednesford Town 1.7 xG, Lancaster City 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hednesford Town 55%, draw 23%, Lancaster City 22%.
Lower-risk option: Hednesford Town or draw (78%) at 1.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Hednesford Town or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hednesford Town 1–0 Lancaster City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hednesford Town55%fair 1.81 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Lancaster City22%fair 4.54 · @3.60
2.59Expected goals
1.69Hednesford Town xG
0.90Lancaster City xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.7 – 0.9 Lancaster City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Hednesford Town
Lancaster City
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+10%
-24%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+2%
Our expected goals here
1.92
0.95
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hednesford Town to win✓
55%
1.81
1.83
Double chance
Hednesford Town or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
–
Draw no bet
Hednesford Town (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Lancaster City +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Hednesford Town to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town✓
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.88
–
Recent results
Hednesford Town
No recent results on record.
Lancaster City
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Lancaster City.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?
Our pick is Hednesford Town or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lancaster City 22%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 1–0 Lancaster City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City?
Hednesford Town vs Lancaster City (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Keys Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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