Leek Town 38%Draw 21%Hebburn Town 41%Expected goals 2.07 – 1.74
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
1
Value bet: Leek Town to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHebburn Town to win ✗41% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.41
Leek Town vs Hebburn Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Saturday 21 February: Leek Town v Hebburn Town in the Non League Premier Northern, played at F. Ball Community Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 2.1 xG, Hebburn Town 1.7 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 73% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 38%, draw 21%, Hebburn Town 41%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Leek Town to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 2–1 Hebburn Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leek Town38%fair 2.62 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.30
Hebburn Town41%fair 2.42 · @1.95
3.81Expected goals
2.07Leek Town xG
1.74Hebburn Town xG
64%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–16%
3–25%
From our goals model: Leek Town 2.1 – 1.7 Hebburn Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leek Town
Hebburn Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+23%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
+38%
-13%
Our expected goals here
2.79
1.68
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hebburn Town to win✗
41%
2.42
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Hebburn Town (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Hebburn Town +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
First team to score
Leek Town to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Leek Town ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.41
–
Recent results
Leek Town
No recent results on record.
Hebburn Town
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Hebburn Town.
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Hebburn Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Leek Town vs Hebburn Town?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hebburn Town 41%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Hebburn Town?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs Hebburn Town?
Our predicted score is Leek Town 2–1 Hebburn Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Leek Town vs Hebburn Town?
Leek Town vs Hebburn Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at F. Ball Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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