Value bet: Gainsborough Trinity to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultStockton Town to win ✓39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gainsborough Trinity travel to face Stockton Town on Friday 3 April in the Non League Premier Northern, with The Map Group UK Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Stockton Town are 16th, lower half, on 18 points after 18 matches; Gainsborough Trinity are 8th (upper half) with 29.
Current form
Gainsborough Trinity, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Bamber Bridge, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Stockton Town 1.5 xG, Gainsborough Trinity 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Stockton Town 39%, draw 24%, Gainsborough Trinity 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Gainsborough Trinity to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Stockton Town 1–1 Gainsborough Trinity. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Stockton Town39%fair 2.55 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.30
Gainsborough Trinity36%fair 2.75 · @3.00
2.93Expected goals
1.46Stockton Town xG
1.47Gainsborough Trinity xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Stockton Town 1.5 – 1.5 Gainsborough Trinity expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Stockton Town
Gainsborough Trinity
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
-6%
+12%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.53
1.66
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stockton Town to win✓
39%
2.55
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Draw no bet
Stockton Town (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Stockton Town +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Gainsborough Trinity to score first✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gainsborough Trinity / FT Gainsborough Trinity✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Stockton Town – last 1
W
21 Feb
@ Ashton United
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Gainsborough Trinity – last 5
LWWDW
24 Mar
vs Bamber Bridge
0–1
L
17 Mar
vs Hyde United
2–0
W
24 Feb
vs Leek Town
2–0
W
21 Feb
@ United of Manchester
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Whitby Town
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Stockton Town and Gainsborough Trinity.
What is the prediction for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
On our numbers Stockton Town have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gainsborough Trinity 36%.
How many goals will there be in Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Our predicted score is Stockton Town 1–1 Gainsborough Trinity, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Stockton Town vs Gainsborough Trinity (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at The Map Group UK Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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