Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Friday 3 April: Lancaster City v Morpeth Town in the Non League Premier Northern, played at Giant Axe Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lancaster City 1.5 xG, Morpeth Town 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lancaster City 51%, draw 24%, Morpeth Town 25%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lancaster City to win (51%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lancaster City 1–0 Morpeth Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lancaster City51%fair 1.96 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.60
Morpeth Town25%fair 3.96 · @4.33
2.60Expected goals
1.46Lancaster City xG
1.14Morpeth Town xG
47%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Lancaster City 1.5 – 1.1 Morpeth Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Lancaster City
Morpeth Town
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
-24%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.34
1.39
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lancaster City to win✓
51%
1.96
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Lancaster City (draw no bet)✓
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Morpeth Town +1 (Asian handicap)✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Lancaster City to score first✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lancaster City / FT Lancaster City✓
26%
3.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Recent results
Lancaster City – last 1
L
21 Feb
@ Hednesford Town
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Morpeth Town – last 2
LL
10 Mar
@ Cleethorpes Town
1–3
L
21 Feb
@ Workington
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lancaster City and Morpeth Town.
What is the prediction for Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
Our pick is Lancaster City to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
On our numbers Lancaster City have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Morpeth Town 25%.
How many goals will there be in Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
Our predicted score is Lancaster City 1–0 Morpeth Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town?
Lancaster City vs Morpeth Town (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Giant Axe Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Hednesford Town3
Prescot Cables0
Rushall Olympic1