Leek Town 47%Draw 21%Bamber Bridge 32%Expected goals 2.01 – 1.35
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Leek Town to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeek Town to win ✓47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56
Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 3 April the Non League Premier Northern brings Leek Town against Bamber Bridge at F. Ball Community Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Leek Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Bamber Bridge are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 11.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 2.0 xG, Bamber Bridge 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 47%, draw 21%, Bamber Bridge 32%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Leek Town to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 2–1 Bamber Bridge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leek Town47%fair 2.14 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Bamber Bridge32%fair 3.12 · @2.25
3.37Expected goals
2.01Leek Town xG
1.35Bamber Bridge xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Leek Town 2.0 – 1.4 Bamber Bridge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leek Town
Bamber Bridge
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average
+23%
-33%
Goals conceded vs average
+38%
+27%
Our expected goals here
2.66
1.33
Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leek Town to win✓
47%
2.14
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Leek Town (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Bamber Bridge +1 (Asian handicap)
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
First team to score
Leek Town to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Leek Town ahead at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leek Town / FT Leek Town✗
33%
3.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Leek Town – last 2
LD
24 Feb
@ Gainsborough Trinity
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Hebburn Town
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Bamber Bridge – last 2
WD
24 Mar
@ Gainsborough Trinity
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Whitby Town
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Bamber Bridge.
What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
On our numbers Leek Town have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bamber Bridge 32%.
How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
Our predicted score is Leek Town 2–1 Bamber Bridge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?
Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at F. Ball Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.