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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Leek Town v Bamber Bridge: numbers & prediction

Non League Premier Northern · England · F. Ball Community Stadium
3–2
FT
Leek Town 47%Draw 21%Bamber Bridge 32% Expected goals 2.01 – 1.35
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1

Value bet: Leek Town to win @ 2.60 – our chance 47% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultLeek Town to win ✓47% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.56

Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 3 April the Non League Premier Northern brings Leek Town against Bamber Bridge at F. Ball Community Stadium. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Leek Town are 19th, lower half, on 17 points after 17 matches; Bamber Bridge are 22nd (in the drop zone) with 11.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Leek Town 2.0 xG, Bamber Bridge 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Leek Town 47%, draw 21%, Bamber Bridge 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Leek Town to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 47%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leek Town 2–1 Bamber Bridge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Leek Town47%fair 2.14 · @2.60
Draw21%fair 4.73 · @3.50
Bamber Bridge32%fair 3.12 · @2.25
3.37Expected goals
2.01Leek Town xG
1.35Bamber Bridge xG
61%Both score
65%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–19%
2–07%
1–07%
2–26%
3–16%

From our goals model: Leek Town 2.0 – 1.4 Bamber Bridge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Leek TownBamber Bridge
Attack vs Non League Premier Northern average+23%-33%
Goals conceded vs average+38%+27%
Our expected goals here2.661.33

Our own ratings from every Non League Premier Northern result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeek Town to win ✓47%2.142.60 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betLeek Town (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapBamber Bridge +1 (Asian handicap)60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
First team to scoreLeek Town to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLeek Town ahead at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Leek Town / FT Leek Town ✗33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.56–

Recent results

Leek Town – last 2

LD
24 Feb@ Gainsborough Trinity0–2L
21 Febvs Hebburn Town0–0D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Bamber Bridge – last 2

WD
24 Mar@ Gainsborough Trinity1–0W
21 Febvs Whitby Town1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Leek Town and Bamber Bridge.

Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge head-to-head page →

Non League Premier Northern table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Redcar Athletic181152+2238
2Curzon Ashton181215+1437
3Cleethorpes Town171133+2436
4Guiseley AFC161033+1833
5Rylands17935+730
6Workington18936+430
7Bury16925+1429
8Gainsborough Trinity17926+929
9Warrington Town17854+729
10Avro17926+629
11Alfreton Town18729-223
12AFC Emley18657-823
13Quorn17566-221
14Lancaster City18639-1121
15Whitby Town176110-2119
16Stockton Town185310-518
17Hyde United17539-1318
18Ashton United17458-217
19Leek Town17458-517
20Ilkeston Town184113-2513
21United of Manchester16268-712
22Bamber Bridge182511-2411

More Non League Premier Northern predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?

On our numbers Leek Town have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bamber Bridge 32%.

How many goals will there be in Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?

We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Our predicted score is Leek Town 2–1 Bamber Bridge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.

When is Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge?

Leek Town vs Bamber Bridge (Non League Premier Northern) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at F. Ball Community Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.