Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMarbella to win ✓44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.06
Marbella vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Marbella welcome Algeciras to Banús Football Center for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 22 February (12:00 WAT).
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.4 xG, Algeciras 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 44%, draw 26%, Algeciras 30%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Marbella44%fair 2.30 · @2.55
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @2.80
Algeciras30%fair 3.33 · @2.85
2.44Expected goals
1.44Marbella xG
1.00Algeciras xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
2–09%
2–19%
0–09%
0–19%
From our goals model: Marbella 1.4 – 1.0 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Marbella
Algeciras
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+13%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+1%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.96
1.10
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marbella to win✓
44%
2.30
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Marbella (draw no bet)✓
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Algeciras +1 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Marbella to score first
54%
1.85
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marbella / FT Marbella✗
28%
3.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.06
–
Recent results
Marbella – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ FC Cartagena
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Algeciras
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Algeciras.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Marbella vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Marbella have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Algeciras 30%.
How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Marbella vs Algeciras?
Marbella vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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