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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Real Murcia v FC Cartagena: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Estadio Enrique Roca

FC Cartagena

Real Murcia 52%Draw 29%FC Cartagena 20% Expected goals 1.29 – 0.72

68%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating

1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultReal Murcia to win ✗52% · @1.95

Double chanceReal Murcia or draw ✗80% · @1.15

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.48

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.36

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.81

Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 22 February the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Real Murcia against FC Cartagena at Estadio Enrique Roca. Kick-off: 18:15 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; FC Cartagena are 8th (upper half) with 16.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 1.3 xG, FC Cartagena 0.7 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 52%, draw 29%, FC Cartagena 20%.
Lower-risk option: Real Murcia or draw (80%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 1–0 FC Cartagena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Real Murcia52%fair 1.93 · @1.95

Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.80

FC Cartagena20%fair 5.10 · @4.20

2.02Expected goals

1.29Real Murcia xG

0.72FC Cartagena xG

46%Both score

32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%

0–013%

1–112%

2–011%

0–110%

2–18%

From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.3 – 0.7 FC Cartagena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Real Murcia	FC Cartagena
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average	-14%	+6%
Goals conceded vs average	-29%	-10%
Our expected goals here	1.29	0.79

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Real Murcia to win ✗	52%	1.93	1.95
Double chance	Real Murcia or draw ✗	80%	1.24	1.15
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	54%	1.86	1.48
Draw no bet	Real Murcia (draw no bet) ✗	73%	1.38	–
Asian handicap	FC Cartagena +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	68%	1.47	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	58%	1.72	1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	68%	1.47	1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	85%	1.17	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	95%	1.06	–
First team to score	Real Murcia to score first	56%	1.80	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	49%	2.04	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia ✗	29%	3.42	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	17%	5.81	–

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and FC Cartagena.

Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 2 table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zaragoza	11	7	3	1	+9	24
2	Villarreal II	11	6	4	1	+11	22
3	Real Murcia	11	6	2	3	+4	20
4	Real Jaén	11	5	4	2	+4	19
5	Alcorcon	11	4	6	1	+9	18
6	Ibiza	11	5	3	3	+4	18
7	Hércules	11	5	2	4	-1	17
8	FC Cartagena	11	4	4	3	+3	16
9	Real Madrid II	11	4	4	3	+2	16
10	Huesca	11	3	6	2	0	15
11	Gimnastic	11	4	3	4	-1	15
12	Antequera	11	3	5	3	+2	14
13	Algeciras	11	4	2	5	-1	14
14	Sant Andreu	11	3	4	4	0	13
15	Atlético Madrid II	11	2	5	4	+1	11
16	Europa Fc	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	Águilas	11	1	6	4	-6	9
18	Juventud Torremolinos	11	1	5	5	-9	8
19	Rayo Majadahonda	11	2	1	8	-7	7
20	Teruel	11	1	4	6	-13	7

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub

Marbella4

Algeciras1 144%2.55X26%2.80230%2.85 1.4–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.55 ✓

Sabadell2

Sanluqueño0 163%1.30X23%4.10214%11.00 1.6–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓

Antequera0

Europa Fc2 151%2.45X24%2.85225%2.95 1.7–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.50 ✓

Eldense2

Alcorcon2 145%2.15X27%2.75228%3.70 1.4–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.65 ✓

Teruel1

Ibiza0 129%3.10X31%2.65240%2.50 0.8–1.1xG X2Ibiza or draw 71%@1.33 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?

On our numbers Real Murcia have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 29% and FC Cartagena 20%.

How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?

Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 FC Cartagena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?

Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 22 February 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.