Double chanceAtlético Madrid II or draw ✓81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Madrid II welcome Hércules to Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares for a Primera División RFEF Group 2 fixture on Sunday 8 March (18:15 WAT). In the table, Atlético Madrid II are 15th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Hércules are 7th (upper half) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Madrid II 1.7 xG, Hércules 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Madrid II 56%, draw 25%, Hércules 19%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Madrid II 1–0 Hércules. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Madrid II56%fair 1.78 · @1.70
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.35
Hércules19%fair 5.20 · @4.75
2.69Expected goals
1.74Atlético Madrid II xG
0.95Hércules xG
53%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Atlético Madrid II 1.7 – 0.9 Hércules expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlético Madrid II
Hércules
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+29%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-7%
Our expected goals here
2.00
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Madrid II to win✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Double chance
Atlético Madrid II or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.93
Draw no bet
Atlético Madrid II (draw no bet)
75%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Hércules +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
First team to score
Atlético Madrid II to score first✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Madrid II / FT Atlético Madrid II✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Atlético Madrid II – last 2
LW
21 Feb
vs Gimnastic
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Sanluqueño
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Hércules – last 2
DL
21 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Antequera
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Madrid II and Hércules.
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules?
On our numbers Atlético Madrid II have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Hércules 19%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules?
Our predicted score is Atlético Madrid II 1–0 Hércules, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules?
Atlético Madrid II vs Hércules (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Centro Deportivo Wanda Alcalá de Henares.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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