Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlcorcon to win ✗37% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alcorcon travel to face Juventud Torremolinos on Sunday 8 March in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Juventud Torremolinos are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Alcorcon are 5th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Juventud Torremolinos, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Europa Fc, away. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Torremolinos 1.2 xG, Alcorcon 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Torremolinos 36%, draw 27%, Alcorcon 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Alcorcon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juventud Torremolinos36%fair 2.80 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.90
Alcorcon37%fair 2.67 · @2.60
2.51Expected goals
1.24Juventud Torremolinos xG
1.27Alcorcon xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventud Torremolinos 1.2 – 1.3 Alcorcon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Juventud Torremolinos
Alcorcon
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-9%
+25%
Goals conceded vs average
+13%
-2%
Our expected goals here
1.48
1.49
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alcorcon to win✗
37%
2.67
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Alcorcon (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Juventud Torremolinos +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Alcorcon to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alcorcon / FT Alcorcon✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
Juventud Torremolinos – last 4
WDDW
1 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–2
W
25 Feb
vs Teruel
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Hércules
2–2
D
17 Feb
@ hodd
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Alcorcon – last 2
DW
22 Feb
@ Eldense
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Real Murcia
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud Torremolinos and Alcorcon.
What is the prediction for Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon?
On our numbers Juventud Torremolinos have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Alcorcon 37%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon?
Our predicted score is Juventud Torremolinos 1–1 Alcorcon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon?
Juventud Torremolinos vs Alcorcon (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal El Pozuelo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarazona0