Teruel 33%Draw 28%Villarreal II 39%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.23
65%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Villarreal II to win @ 3.35 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultVillarreal II to win ✗39% · @3.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.80
Teruel vs Villarreal II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 8 March the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Teruel against Villarreal II at Pinilla. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Teruel are 20th, in the drop zone, on 7 points after 11 matches; Villarreal II are 2nd (among the top four) with 22. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Teruel, last 4: DDWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Algeciras, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Teruel 0.9 xG, Villarreal II 1.2 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Teruel 33%, draw 28%, Villarreal II 39%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Villarreal II to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: Teruel 0–1 Villarreal II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Teruel33%fair 2.99 · @2.20
Draw28%fair 3.64 · @2.90
Villarreal II39%fair 2.56 · @3.35
2.12Expected goals
0.89Teruel xG
1.23Villarreal II xG
49%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Teruel 0.9 – 1.2 Villarreal II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Teruel
Villarreal II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-45%
+41%
Goals conceded vs average
+4%
-13%
Our expected goals here
0.80
1.55
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Villarreal II to win✗
39%
2.56
3.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.57
Draw no bet
Villarreal II (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.86
–
Asian handicap
Teruel +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Villarreal II to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Villarreal II / FT Villarreal II✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.80
–
Recent results
Teruel – last 4
DDWW
1 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Juventud Torremolinos
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Ibiza
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Villarreal II – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Eldense
2–0
W
20 Feb
@ Real Betis II
4–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Teruel and Villarreal II.
What is the prediction for Teruel vs Villarreal II?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Teruel vs Villarreal II?
On our numbers Teruel have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Villarreal II 39%.
How many goals will there be in Teruel vs Villarreal II?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Teruel vs Villarreal II?
Our predicted score is Teruel 0–1 Villarreal II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Teruel vs Villarreal II?
Teruel vs Villarreal II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Pinilla.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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