Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlgeciras to win ✗41% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.76
Algeciras vs Ibiza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 5 April the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Algeciras against Ibiza at Estadio Nuevo Mirador. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Algeciras are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Ibiza are 6th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
Algeciras, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Europa Fc, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Ibiza, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Eldense, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Algeciras 1.3 xG, Ibiza 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Algeciras 41%, draw 27%, Ibiza 32%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Algeciras 1–1 Ibiza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Algeciras41%fair 2.42 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.71 · @2.95
Ibiza32%fair 3.15 · @2.88
2.38Expected goals
1.31Algeciras xG
1.07Ibiza xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Algeciras 1.3 – 1.1 Ibiza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Algeciras
Ibiza
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+3%
+7%
Goals conceded vs average
+5%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.19
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win✗
41%
2.42
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Draw no bet
Algeciras (draw no bet)
57%
1.77
–
Asian handicap
Ibiza +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Algeciras to score first✗
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Algeciras / FT Algeciras✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
Algeciras – last 6
WWDLDL
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
1 Mar
vs Teruel
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Marbella
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ibiza – last 5
LLWLW
22 Mar
@ Eldense
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Marbella
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Tarazona
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Teruel
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Algeciras and Ibiza.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Algeciras vs Ibiza?
On our numbers Algeciras have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ibiza 32%.
How many goals will there be in Algeciras vs Ibiza?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Algeciras vs Ibiza?
Our predicted score is Algeciras 1–1 Ibiza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Algeciras vs Ibiza?
Algeciras vs Ibiza (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nuevo Mirador.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sabadell1
Real Betis II3