Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.14
Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Madrid II travel to face Real Murcia on Sunday 5 April in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Enrique Roca the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, Real Murcia are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Atlético Madrid II are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Real Murcia, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sevilla Atletico, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Atlético Madrid II, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Tarazona, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Atlético Madrid II, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Real Murcia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Murcia 1.5 xG, Atlético Madrid II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Murcia 46%, draw 27%, Atlético Madrid II 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Either team to win (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Murcia 1–0 Atlético Madrid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Murcia46%fair 2.20 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @2.80
Atlético Madrid II28%fair 3.62 · @3.45
2.52Expected goals
1.53Real Murcia xG
0.99Atlético Madrid II xG
47%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Real Murcia 1.5 – 1.0 Atlético Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Murcia
Atlético Madrid II
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-14%
+29%
Goals conceded vs average
-29%
+27%
Our expected goals here
1.82
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Real Murcia to win✓
46%
2.20
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Real Murcia (draw no bet)✓
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Madrid II +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
First team to score
Real Murcia to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Real Murcia / FT Real Murcia✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.14
–
Recent results
Real Murcia – last 6
WLDLLL
29 Mar
@ Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Hércules
0–2
L
11 Mar
vs Marbella
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Sanluqueño
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FC Cartagena
1–2
L
15 Feb
@ Alcorcon
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlético Madrid II – last 4
WDLW
15 Mar
@ Tarazona
4–1
W
8 Mar
vs Hércules
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Gimnastic
1–2
L
13 Feb
@ Sanluqueño
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Murcia and Atlético Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our pick is Either team to win with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II?
On our numbers Real Murcia have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atlético Madrid II 28%.
How many goals will there be in Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Real Murcia 1–0 Atlético Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II?
Real Murcia vs Atlético Madrid II (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Enrique Roca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sabadell1
Real Betis II3