FC Cartagena 55%Draw 26%Gimnastic 18%Expected goals 1.63 – 0.84
76%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultFC Cartagena to win55% · @1.85
Double chanceFC Cartagena or draw82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.59
FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnastic travel to face FC Cartagena on Sunday 26 April in the Primera División RFEF Group 2, with Estadio Municipal Cartagonova the venue – the ball rolls at 17:15 WAT. In the table, FC Cartagena are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Gimnastic are 11th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
FC Cartagena, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Tarazona, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnastic, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Marbella, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Momentum favours FC Cartagena, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Gimnastic.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Cartagena 1.6 xG, Gimnastic 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Cartagena 55%, draw 26%, Gimnastic 18%.
Lower-risk option: FC Cartagena or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Cartagena 1–0 Gimnastic. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Cartagena55%fair 1.81 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
Gimnastic18%fair 5.42 · @4.20
2.47Expected goals
1.63FC Cartagena xG
0.84Gimnastic xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Cartagena 1.6 – 0.8 Gimnastic expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Cartagena
Gimnastic
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
+6%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-10%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.96
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Cartagena to win
55%
1.81
1.85
Double chance
FC Cartagena or draw
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.93
Draw no bet
FC Cartagena (draw no bet)
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Gimnastic +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
FC Cartagena to score first
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Cartagena / FT FC Cartagena
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
FC Cartagena – last 5
DDWWW
8 Mar
@ Tarazona
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Sevilla Atletico
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Real Murcia
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Marbella
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Gimnastic – last 5
LLDLW
19 Apr
@ Marbella
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Algeciras
0–1
L
13 Mar
vs Sabadell
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Antequera
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Atlético Madrid II
2–1
W
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Cartagena and Gimnastic.
What is the prediction for FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
On our numbers FC Cartagena have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimnastic 18%.
How many goals will there be in FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
Our predicted score is FC Cartagena 1–0 Gimnastic, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic?
FC Cartagena vs Gimnastic (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 17:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Marbella0
Sabadell0
Sevilla Atletico0
Tarazona0