Value bet: Sevilla Atletico to win @ 3.35 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAlgeciras to win39% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–27% · fair 13.70
Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 26 April the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Sevilla Atletico against Algeciras at Estadio Jesus Navas. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.
Current form
Sevilla Atletico, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ibiza, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Algeciras, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Villarreal II, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Algeciras, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Sevilla Atletico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevilla Atletico 1.2 xG, Algeciras 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevilla Atletico 34%, draw 28%, Algeciras 39%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Sevilla Atletico to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevilla Atletico 1–1 Algeciras. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevilla Atletico34%fair 2.98 · @3.35
Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.88
Algeciras39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
2.24Expected goals
1.15Sevilla Atletico xG
1.09Algeciras xG
56%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sevilla Atletico 1.2 – 1.1 Algeciras expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sevilla Atletico
Algeciras
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average
-16%
+3%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.47
1.12
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Algeciras to win
39%
2.58
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Algeciras (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Algeciras +0.5 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sevilla Atletico to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sevilla Atletico / FT Sevilla Atletico
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
7%
13.70
–
Recent results
Sevilla Atletico – last 6
WLLDLL
19 Apr
@ Ibiza
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Real Murcia
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Marbella
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Antequera
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Real Betis II
1–3
L
25 Feb
@ FC Cartagena
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Algeciras – last 6
LDWWDL
12 Apr
@ Villarreal II
0–4
L
5 Apr
vs Ibiza
0–0
D
28 Mar
@ Europa Fc
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Gimnastic
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Alcorcon
0–0
D
11 Mar
@ Antequera
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sevilla Atletico and Algeciras.
What is the prediction for Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras?
On our numbers Sevilla Atletico have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Algeciras 39%.
How many goals will there be in Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras?
Our predicted score is Sevilla Atletico 1–1 Algeciras, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras?
Sevilla Atletico vs Algeciras (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jesus Navas.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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