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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marbella v Sabadell: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 2 · Spain · Banús Football Center

Marbella

WLLWW
0–0
–

Sabadell

LDDDW
Marbella 39%Draw 26%Sabadell 35% Expected goals 1.40 – 1.07
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Marbella to win @ 3.10 – our chance 39% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultMarbella to win39% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.25

Marbella vs Sabadell: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 26 April the Primera División RFEF Group 2 brings Marbella against Sabadell at Banús Football Center. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT.

Current form

Marbella, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gimnastic, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sabadell, last 5: LDDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Real Betis II, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Marbella, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Sabadell.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marbella 1.4 xG, Sabadell 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marbella 39%, draw 26%, Sabadell 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.91.
  • Price worth noting: Marbella to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marbella 1–1 Sabadell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marbella39%fair 2.53 · @3.10
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.00
Sabadell35%fair 2.88 · @2.25
2.47Expected goals
1.40Marbella xG
1.07Sabadell xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%

From our goals model: Marbella 1.4 – 1.1 Sabadell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MarbellaSabadell
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 2 average+13%-2%
Goals conceded vs average+1%-2%
Our expected goals here1.841.04

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 2 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarbella to win39%2.533.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win74%1.351.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.751.91 ▲
Draw no betMarbella (draw no bet)53%1.88–
Asian handicapSabadell +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.471.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals57%1.751.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals77%1.301.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals89%1.12–
First team to scoreMarbella to score first52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marbella / FT Marbella26%3.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19%11.25–

Recent results

Marbella – last 6

WLLWWD
19 Aprvs Gimnastic2–0W
10 Apr@ Atlético Madrid II4–5L
29 Mar@ Hércules0–2L
22 Marvs Sevilla Atletico3–0W
15 Mar@ Ibiza1–0W
11 Mar@ Real Murcia1–1D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Sabadell – last 6

LDDDWL
5 Aprvs Real Betis II1–3L
29 Mar@ Villarreal II1–1D
13 Mar@ Gimnastic0–0D
1 Mar@ FC Cartagena0–0D
22 Febvs Sanluqueño2–0W
15 Feb@ Ibiza0–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Marbella and Sabadell.

Marbella vs Sabadell head-to-head page →

More Primera División RFEF Group 2 predictions

League hub
FT Europa Fc0 Real Murcia2 135%2.30X29%3.00237%3.00 1.0–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
– Hércules2 Teruel0 148%2.10X28%2.95224%3.55 1.3–0.7xG 1XHércules or draw 76%@1.22
– Sevilla Atletico0 Algeciras1 134%3.35X28%2.88239%2.20 1.2–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.48
– Tarazona0 Juventud Torremolinos0 151%1.95X26%3.10223%3.80 1.5–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.22
– FC Cartagena Gimnastic 155%1.85X26%3.10218%4.20 1.6–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marbella vs Sabadell?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Marbella vs Sabadell?

On our numbers Marbella have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Sabadell 35%.

How many goals will there be in Marbella vs Sabadell?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marbella vs Sabadell?

Our predicted score is Marbella 1–1 Sabadell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Marbella vs Sabadell?

Marbella vs Sabadell (Primera División RFEF Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Banús Football Center.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.