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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Arenteiro v Cacereño: numbers & prediction

Primera División RFEF Group 1 · Spain · Estadio de Espiñedo
0–4
FT
Arenteiro 34%Draw 28%Cacereño 38% Expected goals 1.05 – 1.12
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCacereño to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.32

Arenteiro vs Cacereño: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Arenteiro welcome Cacereño to Estadio de Espiñedo for a Primera División RFEF Group 1 fixture on Sunday 3 May (11:00 WAT).

Current form

Arenteiro, last 4: LLDL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Mérida AD, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Cacereño, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Celta de Vigo II, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cacereño, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for Arenteiro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Arenteiro 1.1 xG, Cacereño 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Arenteiro 34%, draw 28%, Cacereño 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arenteiro 1–1 Cacereño. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Arenteiro34%fair 2.96 · @2.62
Draw28%fair 3.58 · @3.25
Cacereño38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
2.17Expected goals
1.05Arenteiro xG
1.12Cacereño xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%

From our goals model: Arenteiro 1.1 – 1.1 Cacereño expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ArenteiroCacereño
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average-18%-27%
Goals conceded vs average+23%-17%
Our expected goals here0.950.97

Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCacereño to win ✓38%2.612.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.80
Draw no betCacereño (draw no bet) ✓53%1.88–
Asian handicapArenteiro +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.511.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.681.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
First team to scoreCacereño to score first ✓46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cacereño / FT Cacereño ✗21%4.81–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.32–

Recent results

Arenteiro – last 4

LLDL
19 Aprvs Mérida AD0–2L
5 Aprvs Arenas Getxo1–2L
20 Marvs Celta de Vigo II1–1D
15 Feb@ CF Talavera1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Cacereño – last 5

LWLDL
17 Apr@ Celta de Vigo II0–3L
10 Aprvs Athletic Club II1–0W
29 Marvs Lugo1–2L
15 Marvs Ponferradina0–0D
22 Feb@ Mérida AD0–1L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Arenteiro and Cacereño.

Arenteiro vs Cacereño head-to-head page →

Primera División RFEF Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lugo11911+1028
2UD Logroñés11722+823
3Pontevedra11533+218
4Real Avilés11524+817
5Mirandes11524+117
6Racing Ferrol11524+117
7Extremadura 192411515+616
8Mérida AD11515+416
9Athletic Club II11434+215
10Cacereño11434015
11Ponferradina11362015
12Barakaldo11353014
13Real Unión11344013
14Cultural Leonesa11344013
15Unionistas de Salamanca11416-513
16Zamora11335-212
17CD Coria11335-312
18Deportivo La Coruña II11326-711
19Arenas Getxo11326-1311
20UD Ourense11227-128

More Primera División RFEF Group 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Arenteiro vs Cacereño?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Arenteiro vs Cacereño?

On our numbers Arenteiro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Cacereño 38%.

How many goals will there be in Arenteiro vs Cacereño?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Arenteiro vs Cacereño?

Our predicted score is Arenteiro 1–1 Cacereño, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Arenteiro vs Cacereño?

Arenteiro vs Cacereño (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Espiñedo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.