Athletic Club II 49%Draw 26%Ourense CF 25%Expected goals 1.34 – 0.91
65%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultAthletic Club II to win49% · @1.85
Double chanceAthletic Club II or draw75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.61
Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 3 May: Athletic Club II v Ourense CF in the Primera División RFEF Group 1, played at Lezama Facilities.
Current form
Athletic Club II, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Racing Ferrol, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Ourense CF, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Real Madrid II, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.4 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Athletic Club II 1.3 xG, Ourense CF 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Athletic Club II 49%, draw 26%, Ourense CF 25%.
Lower-risk option: Athletic Club II or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Athletic Club II 1–1 Ourense CF. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Athletic Club II49%fair 2.02 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.35
Ourense CF25%fair 4.06 · @3.80
2.25Expected goals
1.34Athletic Club II xG
0.91Ourense CF xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Athletic Club II 1.3 – 0.9 Ourense CF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Athletic Club II
Ourense CF
Attack vs Primera División RFEF Group 1 average
+2%
-11%
Goals conceded vs average
+2%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.29
0.98
Our own ratings from every Primera División RFEF Group 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Athletic Club II to win
49%
2.02
1.85
Double chance
Athletic Club II or draw
75%
1.33
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.96
2.05
Draw no bet
Athletic Club II (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Ourense CF +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
80%
1.25
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Athletic Club II to score first
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Athletic Club II / FT Athletic Club II
27%
3.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.61
–
Recent results
Athletic Club II – last 6
LLLDWD
19 Apr
vs Racing Ferrol
0–1
L
10 Apr
@ Cacereño
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Celta de Vigo II
1–2
L
20 Mar
vs Mérida AD
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ Osasuna II
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Arenas Getxo
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ourense CF – last 5
DLDLL
14 Apr
@ Real Madrid II
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Real Avilés
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ Barakaldo
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Guadalajara
0–1
L
0.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Athletic Club II and Ourense CF.
What is the prediction for Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
On our numbers Athletic Club II have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ourense CF 25%.
How many goals will there be in Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
Our predicted score is Athletic Club II 1–1 Ourense CF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF?
Athletic Club II vs Ourense CF (Primera División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Lezama Facilities.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arenteiro0