Value bet: Sarriana to win @ 3.40 – our chance 38% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarriana to win ✗38% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 15 February: Sarriana v Gimnástica Segoviana in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, played at Estadio Municipal De Ribela.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarriana 1.5 xG, Gimnástica Segoviana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarriana 38%, draw 26%, Gimnástica Segoviana 36%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sarriana to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarriana 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarriana38%fair 2.62 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.80 · @2.90
Gimnástica Segoviana36%fair 2.82 · @2.10
2.59Expected goals
1.46Sarriana xG
1.13Gimnástica Segoviana xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Sarriana 1.5 – 1.1 Gimnástica Segoviana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarriana to win✗
38%
2.62
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Sarriana (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Gimnástica Segoviana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Sarriana to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarriana / FT Sarriana✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
Sarriana
No recent results on record.
Gimnástica Segoviana
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarriana and Gimnástica Segoviana.
What is the prediction for Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
On our numbers Sarriana have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gimnástica Segoviana 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Our predicted score is Sarriana 1–1 Gimnástica Segoviana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana?
Sarriana vs Gimnástica Segoviana (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal De Ribela.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Numancia2
UD Ourense1
Bergantiños3
Racing Santander II4
Coruxo0
Real Valladolid II2
Marino de Luanco0
Deportivo La Coruña II0
Real Ávila1
Salamanca UDS2
Sámano0
Lealtad2