Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultLealtad to win ✓40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 8.82
Sámano vs Lealtad: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lealtad travel to face Sámano on Sunday 15 February in the Segunda División RFEF Group 1, with Campo de fútbol de Sámano the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sámano 1.2 xG, Lealtad 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sámano 32%, draw 28%, Lealtad 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sámano 1–1 Lealtad. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sámano32%fair 3.13 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.90
Lealtad40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
2.39Expected goals
1.15Sámano xG
1.24Lealtad xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–011%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sámano 1.2 – 1.2 Lealtad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lealtad to win✓
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Draw no bet
Lealtad (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.80
–
Asian handicap
Sámano +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.71
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Lealtad to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lealtad / FT Lealtad✓
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
8.82
–
Recent results
Sámano
No recent results on record.
Lealtad
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sámano and Lealtad.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sámano vs Lealtad?
On our numbers Sámano have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lealtad 40%.
How many goals will there be in Sámano vs Lealtad?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sámano vs Lealtad?
Our predicted score is Sámano 1–1 Lealtad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sámano vs Lealtad?
Sámano vs Lealtad (Segunda División RFEF Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo de fútbol de Sámano.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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